On Wednesday 25th November 2015, the Conservative majority Government outlined the details of its Comprehensive Spending Review.
Detailed analysis of the social care funding measures outlined in the Spending Review, conducted by the ILC-UK Centre for Later Life Funding and supported by Age UK reveals a bleak future for older people needing care.
‘The End of Formal Adult Social Care?’ acts as a Provocation, and reveals that:
- Approximately 1.86 million people over the age of 50 in England (1 in 10) have unmet care needs – an increase of 120,000 people (or 7%) since 2008/9.
- Data from 326 local authorities shows that the councils with the highest concentration of older people and unpaid carers will be the ones that will bring in the least amount of money from the 2% council tax precept.
- There are approximately 4.3 million people aged 50+ in England who are living alone (that’s roughly 1 in 5 middle aged and older people living on their own).
ILC-UK point out that even if the Spending Review announcements bring £3.5bn into adult social care, a scenario they describe as “highly unlikely”, this will still only mean that spending on care returns to 2015 levels by the end of the Parliament. This level of funding would imply an overall fall in expenditure on care as a proportion of GDP putting us firmly towards the bottom end of the OECD league table.
‘The end of formal adult social care’ points out that the numbers accessing care services have fallen by half a million since 2008/9 (a drop of 30%) despite a growing ageing population. The number of over 80s have risen by 800,000 in the last decade. The provocation notes that there are already around 1.5 million people providing over 50 hours per week of unpaid care and that without investment the need for informal care will increase.
Read the report at International Longevity Centre.